Model probability
4.4%
Fair odds
217/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.2
Official rating
94
Weight
152lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
106
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lexus Wrexham Open 2026 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 3m · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
537U-4
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 537U-4 over the last 5 start(s); 106 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 37 | 21.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 94 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 75 | 9.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 94 against a field average of 99 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 39 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Christian Williams — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 152 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 59 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Tudor — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |