Model probability
5.0%
Fair odds
191/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
40.1
Official rating
94
Weight
162lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 3.5f · Good · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0-2950
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0-2950 over the last 5 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 27 | 15.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 94 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 75 | 9.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 94 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 60 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Clare Ellam — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Brendan Powell — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 162 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 34 | 0.7 |