Model probability
5.0%
Fair odds
19/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
40.1
Official rating
72
Weight
142lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
16
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 3.5f · Good · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
P60-63
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line P60-63 over the last 5 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 36 | 21.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 72 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 42 | 5.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 142 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Ben Pauling — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Ben Jones — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 72 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 12 | 0.5 |