Model probability
12.1%
Fair odds
73/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
56.1
Official rating
96
Weight
161lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 3.5f · Good · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
776-13
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 776-13 over the last 5 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 54 | 31.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 96 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 78 | 9.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 96 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 64 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Dan Skelton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Harry Skelton — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 161 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 36 | 0.7 |