Model probability
15.9%
Fair odds
53/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
55.6
Official rating
72
Weight
132lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
2
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
14 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
444325
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 444325 over the last 6 start(s); 2 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 61 | 35.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 72 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 42 | 5.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 72 against a field average of 71 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 52 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 11 of 14 | 3% | 61 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form Gavin Cromwell — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Gary Carroll — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 132 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 29 | 0.6 |