Model probability
6.8%
Fair odds
137/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
36.5
Official rating
57
Weight
129lb
Draw
13
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
14 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-90474
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -90474 over the last 5 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 33 | 19.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 57 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 18 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 57 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 44 | 1.7 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form M C Grassick — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 13 of 14 | 3% | 48 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Unknown — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |