Model probability
2.7%
Fair odds
181/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
19.8
Official rating
60
Weight
134lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
124
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
14 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
088
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 14 | 3% | 81 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 088 over the last 3 start(s); 124 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 3 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form R K Watson — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Adam Caffrey — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 134 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |