Model probability
3.5%
Fair odds
277/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
24.5
Official rating
60
Weight
130lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
17
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 5f · Good · Turf
Field
14 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0800
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0800 over the last 4 start(s); 17 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 10 | 5.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 14 | 3% | 75 | 2.2 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Gerard Kyne — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 68 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Leigh Roche — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |