← Back to the 16:58 Down Royal
Sovreigns Joy
2yo · Miss Natalia Lupini · Wayne Lordan · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
11.2%
Fair odds
79/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
52.9
Official rating
80
Weight
133lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
82
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 82 over the last 2 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 53 | 30.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 17 | 3% | 95 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Miss Natalia Lupini — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Wayne Lordan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 28 | 0.6 |