← Back to the 16:58 Down Royal
Postponing Reality
2yo · Gavin Cromwell · Gary Carroll · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
8.4%
Fair odds
11/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
47.7
Official rating
80
Weight
135lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
30
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
No form figures are published for this horse — it may be unraced or returning from a long absence.
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality No recorded form figures for this horse | 58% | 45 | 26.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 11 of 17 | 3% | 73 | 2.2 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Gavin Cromwell — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Gary Carroll — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 135 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |