Model probability
4.4%
Fair odds
219/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
35.9
Official rating
80
Weight
126lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
5
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
50
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 50 over the last 2 start(s); 5 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 24 | 13.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 17 | 3% | 68 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form John S O'Donoghue — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 126 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 56 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Rory Mulligan(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |