Model probability
10.3%
Fair odds
87/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
33.3
Official rating
62
Weight
131lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
8
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
005
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 005 over the last 3 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 25 | 14.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 62 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 26 | 3.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 62 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 53 | 2.1 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 10 | 3% | 69 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form K J Condon — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Donagh O'Connor — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 131 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 45 | 0.9 |