← Back to the 17:30 Down Royal
Rathbran Lady
2yo · Michael Mulvany · Wesley Joyce(3) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
5.9%
Fair odds
16/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
23.1
Official rating
52
Weight
121lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
8
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
007
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 007 over the last 3 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 11 | 6.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 10 | 3% | 78 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 121 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Mulvany — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 52 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 11 | 1.3 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 52 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 31 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Wesley Joyce(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |