Model probability
5.3%
Fair odds
179/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
21.2
Official rating
54
Weight
123lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
43
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
790
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 790 over the last 3 start(s); 43 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 8 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 10 | 3% | 60 | 1.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 54 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 14 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Noel Meade — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 123 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 73 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 54 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 35 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Chris Hayes — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |