Model probability
9.3%
Fair odds
97/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
31.4
Official rating
60
Weight
129lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
6
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0894
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0894 over the last 4 start(s); 6 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 24 | 13.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 48 | 1.9 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 10 | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form Noel Meade — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 52 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form W J Lee — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |