← Back to the 17:30 Down Royal
Fine Line
2yo · Denis Gerard Hogan · Reese Holohan(7) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
11.0%
Fair odds
81/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
34.3
Official rating
61
Weight
130lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
00074
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 00074 over the last 5 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 26 | 15.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 61 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 25 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 10 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 61 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 51 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Denis Gerard Hogan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Reese Holohan(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 48 | 1.0 |