← Back to the 17:30 Down Royal
Someday Somewhere
2yo · Stephen Thorne · Jack Kearney(3) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
28.8%
Fair odds
5/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
51.7
Official rating
69
Weight
138lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
8
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
3445
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 3445 over the last 4 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 54 | 31.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 68 | 2.7 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 10 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Stephen Thorne — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Kearney(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 138 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |