Model probability
5.4%
Fair odds
177/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
21.4
Official rating
55
Weight
124lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
009
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 009 over the last 3 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 7 | 3.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 10 | 3% | 78 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 55 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 15 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form Daniel McLoughlin — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 55 against a field average of 61 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 37 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 124 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 69 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Ben Coen — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |