Model probability
4.0%
Fair odds
121/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
36.1
Official rating
73
Weight
133lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
4
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-68030
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -68030 over the last 5 start(s); 4 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 26 | 15.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 73 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 43 | 5.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 10 of 17 | 3% | 79 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 73 against a field average of 71 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Noel Meade — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Nicola Burns(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 45 | 0.9 |