← Back to the 18:00 Down Royal
Trubshaw
4yo · Henry De Bromhead · Gabriella Hill(7) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
6.8%
Fair odds
69/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.7
Official rating
74
Weight
134lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 2.5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-80671
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -80671 over the last 5 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 42 | 24.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 74 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 45 | 5.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 17 | 3% | 90 | 2.7 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 74 against a field average of 71 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Henry De Bromhead — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Gabriella Hill(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 134 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 41 | 0.8 |