Model probability
8.0%
Fair odds
23/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
41.1
Official rating
60
Weight
142lb
Draw
13
Days since last run
445
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
300/4-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 300/4- over the last 4 start(s); 445 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 39 | 22.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 69 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 13 of 17 | 3% | 63 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form M J Tynan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Orla Tynan(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 142 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 34 | 0.7 |