Model probability
7.3%
Fair odds
127/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.4
Official rating
50
Weight
132lb
Draw
15
Days since last run
8
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
965834
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 965834 over the last 6 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 40 | 23.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 50 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 47 | 1.9 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 15 of 17 | 3% | 52 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form T G McCourt — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 132 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 57 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form James Ryan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 50 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 8 | 0.9 |