Model probability
12.8%
Fair odds
34/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
49.5
Official rating
55
Weight
137lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0-4425
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0-4425 over the last 5 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 54 | 31.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 17 | 3% | 94 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 55 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 58 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 55 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 15 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form David Harry Kelly — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Jimmy Dalton(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 137 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 45 | 0.9 |