← Back to the 19:00 Down Royal
Miss Australie
5yo · Adrian McGuinness · Sam Coen(5) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
14.0%
Fair odds
61/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
51.2
Official rating
66
Weight
148lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
8
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
108561
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 108561 over the last 6 start(s); 8 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 53 | 30.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 66 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 32 | 3.9 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 66 against a field average of 52 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 82 | 3.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 17 | 3% | 89 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Adrian McGuinness — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Sam Coen(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 148 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |