Model probability
11.3%
Fair odds
39/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
46.7
Official rating
59
Weight
141lb
Draw
17
Days since last run
17
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
3361-0
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 3361-0 over the last 5 start(s); 17 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 50 | 29.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 59 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 68 | 2.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 59 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 22 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form C Byrnes — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 17 of 17 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form W J Lee — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 141 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |