Model probability
13.2%
Fair odds
33/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
49.4
Official rating
59
Weight
141lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
515-73
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 515-73 over the last 5 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 53 | 30.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 59 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 68 | 2.7 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 8 of 17 | 3% | 89 | 2.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 59 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 22 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form T J O'Mara — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Wayne Lordan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 141 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |