Model probability
3.0%
Fair odds
329/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
22.5
Official rating
40
Weight
122lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
6
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
870600
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 870600 over the last 6 start(s); 6 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 13 | 7.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 17 | 3% | 68 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 122 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Thomas Cleary — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 40 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 26 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form Unknown — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 40 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 0 | 0.0 |