Model probability
5.3%
Fair odds
89/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
33.1
Official rating
53
Weight
135lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
35
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
549
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 549 over the last 3 start(s); 35 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 27 | 15.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 17 | 3% | 74 | 2.2 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 53 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 55 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Noel Meade — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 53 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 12 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Adam Caffrey — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 135 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 39 | 0.8 |