Model probability
4.4%
Fair odds
22/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
29.5
Official rating
40
Weight
122lb
Draw
15
Days since last run
124
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 5f · Good · Turf
Field
17 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
05-506
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 05-506 over the last 5 start(s); 124 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 26 | 14.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Down Royal not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 122 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 15 of 17 | 3% | 52 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form A J Martin — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 40 against a field average of 51 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 26 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form Unknown — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 40 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 0 | 0.0 |