Model probability
7.5%
Fair odds
123/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
56.0
Official rating
102
Weight
159lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
37
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
17 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
0-222P
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 0-222P over the last 5 start(s); 37 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 52 | 30.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 102 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 88 | 10.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 102 against a field average of 101 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 52 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Peter Fahey — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 159 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 67 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Sam Ewing — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |