Model probability
2.7%
Fair odds
181/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
37.5
Official rating
101
Weight
166lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
1
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
17 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
P1-608
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line P1-608 over the last 5 start(s); 1 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 22 | 12.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 101 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 86 | 10.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 101 against a field average of 101 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form P J Rothwell — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Shane O'Callaghan(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 166 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |