Model probability
3.9%
Fair odds
123/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
44.2
Official rating
105
Weight
149lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
34
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Séan Daly Memorial Handicap Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
5U6910
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 5U6910 over the last 6 start(s); 34 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 32 | 18.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 105 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 92 | 11.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form John Patrick Ryan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 105 against a field average of 113 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 33 | 1.3 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 149 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 63 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form J J Slevin — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |