Model probability
24.1%
Fair odds
16/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
68.6
Official rating
103
Weight
149lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
29
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 3.5f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
12 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
3
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 3 over the last 1 start(s); 29 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 73 | 42.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 103 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 89 | 10.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 103 against a field average of 103 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 149 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Maike Magnussen — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Conor Clarke(4) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |