← Back to the 17:15 Kilbeggan
Returning Officer
6yo · Gordon Elliott · Josh Williamson · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
3.9%
Fair odds
122/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
36.1
Official rating
103
Weight
158lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
54
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 3.5f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
12 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6/577
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 103 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 89 | 10.7 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6/577 over the last 4 start(s); 54 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 18 | 10.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 103 against a field average of 103 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Gordon Elliott — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Josh Williamson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 158 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 48 | 1.0 |