Model probability
7.7%
Fair odds
12/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
54.3
Official rating
105
Weight
159lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
16
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Séan Hughes Memorial 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 3m 1f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
14 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
8-2053
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 8-2053 over the last 5 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 49 | 28.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 105 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 92 | 11.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 105 against a field average of 103 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form John J Cullen — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Alan King(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 159 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 45 | 0.9 |