← Back to the 17:45 Kilbeggan
Smallcraftwarning
9yo · John Patrick Ryan · Daniel King · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
4.5%
Fair odds
107/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
44.5
Official rating
95
Weight
149lb
Draw
14
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Séan Hughes Memorial 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle
Conditions
Class 5 · 3m 1f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
14 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
820405
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 820405 over the last 6 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 35 | 20.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 95 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 77 | 9.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 149 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form John Patrick Ryan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 95 against a field average of 103 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 32 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Daniel King — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |