← Back to the 18:15 Kilbeggan
Fizzle Rock
9yo · Nigel Thomas Slevin · Carl Millar(5) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
15.3%
Fair odds
11/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
66.1
Official rating
110
Weight
159lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
1013
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Midland Veterinary Beginners Steeplechase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 4.5f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
10 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
13344/
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 13344/ over the last 5 start(s); 1013 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 67 | 39.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 110 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 110 against a field average of 110 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Nigel Thomas Slevin — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 159 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 58 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Carl Millar(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |