Model probability
11.4%
Fair odds
39/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
62.7
Official rating
122
Weight
158lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
19
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Kilsaran Handicap Steeplechase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 4.5f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-20533
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -20533 over the last 5 start(s); 19 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 61 | 35.2 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 122 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 122 against a field average of 114 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 67 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form R P Cody — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Paddy Cody(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 158 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 41 | 0.8 |