Model probability
3.4%
Fair odds
143/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
40.9
Official rating
110
Weight
146lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
29
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Kilsaran Handicap Steeplechase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 4.5f · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
37P-48
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 37P-48 over the last 5 start(s); 29 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 24 | 13.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 110 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 110 against a field average of 114 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 40 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Ray Hackett — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 146 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 67 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Conor Clarke(7) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |