Model probability
35.9%
Fair odds
9/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
70.2
Official rating
122
Weight
159lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Clarke's Electrical Contractors, Castletown Geoghegan Beginners Steeplechase
Conditions
Class 5 · 3m · Good to Soft · Turf
Field
5 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
10-223
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 10-223 over the last 5 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 74 | 42.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 122 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good to soft) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kilbeggan not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 122 against a field average of 126 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 42 | 1.7 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 159 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Cian Collins — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Carl Millar(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |