Model probability
28.7%
Fair odds
5/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
75.2
Official rating
93
Weight
124lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
28
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Schweppes Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
2-1132
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 2-1132 over the last 5 start(s); 28 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 89 | 51.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 93 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 74 | 8.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 93 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 46 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form William Haggas — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 10 of 10 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 124 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 60 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Cieren Fallon — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |