Model probability
17.4%
Fair odds
24/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
75.6
Official rating
85
Weight
121lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
12
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m 4f · Good · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
321321
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 321321 over the last 6 start(s); 12 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 90 | 52.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 85 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 62 | 7.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 9 | 3% | 99 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Andrew Balding — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 85 against a field average of 92 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 35 | 1.4 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 121 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 67 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Jason Watson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |