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Lion of Alba

3yo · Hugo Palmer · David Probert · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
4.3%
Fair odds
221/10
Model edge
Raw score
40.2
Official rating
90
Weight
130lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
37

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

1-7477

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 1-7477 over the last 5 start(s); 37 day(s) since the last run
58%2816.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 90 against a class 3 contest
12%698.3
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 90 against a field average of 88 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%542.2
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 5 of 7
3%672.0
Course performance
Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Hugo Palmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
David Probert — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 130 lb (below top weight)
2%430.9