Model probability
19.1%
Fair odds
21/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
66.9
Official rating
82
Weight
122lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
57
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m 2f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
74212
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 74212 over the last 5 start(s); 57 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 77 | 44.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 82 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 57 | 6.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 7 | 3% | 54 | 1.6 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 122 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form William Haggas — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 82 against a field average of 88 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 36 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Cieren Fallon — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |