Model probability
2.7%
Fair odds
178/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.9
Official rating
80
Weight
121lb
Draw
15
Days since last run
33
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Club26 Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
15 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
9-2056
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 9-2056 over the last 5 start(s); 33 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 33 | 18.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 121 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Kevin Ryan — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 15 of 15 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 31 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Callan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |