Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Ferrous

6yo · Jack Channon · Saffie Osborne · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
4.9%
Fair odds
39/2
Model edge
Raw score
50.3
Official rating
99
Weight
140lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
35

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Club26 Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
15 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

265620

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 265620 over the last 6 start(s); 35 day(s) since the last run
58%4224.6
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 99 against a class 2 contest
12%8310.0
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 99 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%722.9
Course performance
Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 11 of 15
3%662.0
Trainer recent form
Jack Channon — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Saffie Osborne — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 140 lb (top weight)
2%200.4