Model probability
4.6%
Fair odds
207/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
49.3
Official rating
84
Weight
125lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
14
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Club26 Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
15 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
836582
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 836582 over the last 6 start(s); 14 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 45 | 25.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 84 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 60 | 7.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 6 of 15 | 3% | 96 | 2.9 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 84 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 39 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Stuart Williams — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 125 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 67 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Silvestre De Sousa — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |