Model probability
13.9%
Fair odds
31/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
69.1
Official rating
88
Weight
129lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Club26 Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
15 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
531711
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 531711 over the last 6 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 77 | 44.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 88 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 66 | 7.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 15 | 3% | 99 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 88 against a field average of 89 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 48 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form Lemos De Souza — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 129 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 55 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Pat Dobbs — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |