Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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The Lost King

4yo · Andrew Balding · P J McDonald · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
18.5%
Fair odds
22/5
Model edge
Raw score
71.4
Official rating
109
Weight
131lb
Draw
8
Days since last run
16

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Betfair Backs Opinions Superior Mile Stakes (Group 3)
Conditions
Class 1 · 1m · Heavy · Turf
Field
9 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

134011

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 134011 over the last 6 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run
58%7845.0
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 109 against a class 1 contest
12%9811.8
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 109 against a field average of 108 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%532.1
Course performance
Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 8 of 9
3%521.5
Trainer recent form
Andrew Balding — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
P J McDonald — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 131 lb (top weight)
2%200.4