Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Needle Match

3yo · William Haggas · Tom Marquand · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Model probability
13.3%
Fair odds
13/2
Model edge
Raw score
65.4
Official rating
107
Weight
126lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
30

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Betfair Backs Opinions Superior Mile Stakes (Group 3)
Conditions
Class 1 · 1m · Heavy · Turf
Field
9 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

1-402

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 1-402 over the last 4 start(s); 30 day(s) since the last run
58%6437.3
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 107 against a class 1 contest
12%9511.4
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 2 of 9
3%892.7
Course performance
Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 107 against a field average of 108 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%492.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 126 lb (below top weight)
2%801.6
Trainer recent form
William Haggas — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Tom Marquand — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0